Tuesday, November 19, 2024

Fantasy football 2024 -- week 11 recap


At the end of the 2022 season, the New Jersey Giants signed QB Daniel Jones to a four-year, $160 million contract extension as a reward for his strong year leading the team to their first playoff appearance in six years. At the start of the 2023 season, the Eagles signed their QB, Jalen Hurts, to a five-year, $255 million extension. And this summer, the Cowboys signed star QB Dak Prescott to a four year, $240 million contract extension which included a ridiculous $80 million signing bonus immediately.

That’s more than $650 million tied up in three NFC East QBs for the near future. Who is getting the best bang for their buck so far? Here’s a breakdown over the past 20 months:

Total salary paid out, April 2023-Nov 2024
Hurts: $65 million
Jones: $67 million
Prescott: $107 million

Cost per TD over that frame
Hurts: $1.1 million (61 total TDs)
Prescott: $2.1 million (50 total TDs)
Jones: $6.7 million (10 total TDs)

Cost per yard over that frame
Hurts: $9,184 (7,077 passing & rushing yds)
Prescott: $15,758 (6,790 passing & rushing yds)
Jones: $19,420 (3,450 passing & rushing yds)

Cost per win over that frame
Hurts: $3.4 million (19 wins)
Prescott: $7.1 million (15 wins)
Jones: $22.3 million (three wins)

Salary paid out for missed injury time over that frame
Hurts: $0 (no games missed)
Prescott: $7.9 million (two games)
Jones: $27.3 million (11 games)

It’s worth noting that Prescott’s contract value will get worse as this year goes on while the Cowboys pay him to recover from his latest injury, while Jones’ contract value will get worse as the Giants pay him to sit on the sidelines following his benching this week. That makes the Hurts contract look like even more of a deal.

But just remember, it’s still ridiculous money. Every time Jalen Hurts does a 1-yard tush push, it costs almost $10,000.


QB: Jared Goff, 42.58 pts — started by Sam
WR: Amon-Ra St. Brown, 27.83 pts — started by Jonathan
RB: Saquon Barkley, 31.07 pts — started by me
TE: Jonnu Smith, 21.73 pts — started by Ant
K: Chris Boswell, 24.00 pts — started by Sam
DEF: Denver, 16.00 pts — on Ant’s bench
D: Derek Barnett, 12.50 pts — on the wire
Taysom Hill: Taysom Hill, 36.69 pts — on the wire

It’s time again for our annual conversation about Taysom Hill.

Taysom Hill, who plays for the Saints, is listed as a QB/TE. He does not, in fact, ever play TE. He should not count as a TE. He should be listed as “slash”, in the mold of Kordell Stewart, the “slash” QB for the Steelers in the late 1990s who actually played QB/RB/WR.

In Sunday’s win, Hill did a little of everything: 18 passing yds, 50 receiving yds, 138 rushing yds, 42 return yds, three TDs, one fumble, one interception. That’s an absolutely mind-boggling stat line. All that’s missing is a tackle and a FG attempt. He had 45.29 fantasy pts total in 10 games coming into Sunday, and nearly equaled that amount in his 11th game.

Hill is an exciting and erratic player. But he is not a TE. If there were any real rules in fantasy, he would be listed as “W/R only.” But there are no rules, because fantasy is not real football.

Shoutout to Goff, who had five interceptions last week when I needed him in my other league and four TDs and a perfect passer rating this week when he was on my bench. I love fantasy football.

Also, former Eagle and current Texan Derek Barnett had a sack, forced fumble, fumble recovery and a defensive TD against the Cowboys on Monday night. The title of ESPN’s featured video clip from the score was “Cowboys fumble twice on same play as Texans score defensive TD.” This really has been a wonderful season.

“Bottom of the barrel” edition

3rd place: New England, -3.00 pts — on the wire
2nd place: Atlanta, -5.00 pts — on Bob’s bench
1st place: Jacksonville, -6.00 pts — on the wire

Goff’s perfect day came at the expense of the truly awful Jaguars, who lost 52-6 without recording a single sack or turnover on the day. Jacksonville has lost its previous three games by a combined total of 13 points. Their point differential for the season is minus-108 pts, but 46 of that total came in the last contest.

Just missing the list was WR Kadarius Toney, the former first round pick for the Giants and a member of the Chiefs last two Super Bowl winning teams. He was cut in the offseason, picked up by the Browns, and saw his first action of the year this week. He had one rush for -7 yds in Cleveland’s loss to the Saints, no catches, then was demoted to the practice squad on Monday. Life comes at you fast.


** I know he corrected himself a few moments later, but during the Eagles’ Thursday night game, play-by-play announcer Al Michaels made a reference to Philadelphia’s famous “Liberty Bowl.” And I just can’t figure out what he was thinking when it happened.

I mean, it’s a one-ton bell. If you’ve ever seen it, you think “that’s a big bell.” It’s hard to mistake it for anything but a working bell.

Did Michaels temporarily picture it upside down, filled with soup? Did he get it confused with a college bowl game? Was Michaels so bored with the first half of the contest that he wanted to go bowling?

Thankfully, he didn’t try to reference Philly’s famous statue of the Rock standing outside the art museum.

** Ahead of the Steelers upset win on Sunday, Ravens radio announcer Gerry Sandusky painted a picture of a beautiful fall Sunday on the gridiron. “It’s 53 degrees here today, and absolutely perfect weather for football. Barely any clouds, not much wind, no rain or snow at all in the forecast.”

I know Baltimore has a lot of quirks, but do they often get snow there when the temperature is over 50 degrees? Or do they just worry that snowmen may strike at any moment?

All-Pro K Justin Tucker missed two kicks in the first-half of the loss, probably because of the sudden blizzard conditions that can instantly form at any moment without warning.

** Late in the Texans win over the Cowboys on Monday, both teams got in a scuffle and started shoving each other, prompting a flurry of flags. The refs announced personal foul penalties on four Dallas defensive players, and one on a Texans offensive lineman.

And then they announced the penalties offset.

Now, I’m not a math major, but it feels like 60 yards worth of penalties on one team should not be erased because of 15 yards worth of penalties on the opposing team. But everything is bigger in Texas, so maybe that was the problem.
 

 After starting out the year 4-2, Chicago is now 4-6 with a losing streak that includes a pair of brutal, unlikely losses: a last-play Hail Mary by the Maryland Commanders and a last-play blocked FG attempt by the Green Bay Packers. It’s hard to imagine a tougher stretch for any team .. but not impossible. With seven games still left on the schedule, here are other painful, torturous loss possibilities out there for Da Bears:
 
** Week 12: Last-second FG surrendered to the Vikings.
Of those six losses, four have been fewer than six points. But none so far have involved giving up a kick for three on the last play of the game, the most traditional way to entertain last-second heartbreak in the NFL.

** Week 13: End zone interception on the final play against Detroit
Imagine a game where the Bears hang with the high-scoring Lions, have a chance to win with a TD at the end of regulation, drive the ball down inside the 10 and toss a pick under the uprights with no time left on the clock. Brutal.

** Week 14: Overtime loss to the 49ers on a safety.
Getting to overtime shows your squad was good enough to win it. Giving up a safety shows a healthy dose of bad luck and fundamental flaws in strategy. Why not combine the two with a game-ending sack in your own end zone?

** Week 15: Last-second FG surrendered to the Vikings, again.
What’s worse than losing on a final kick once? Losing on a final kick to the same team twice in four weeks.

** Week 17: Meteor strike on the final play against the Seahawks
Nevermind, scratch that. Having your QB killed by a meteor on the final play of the game is still less painful than losing on a Hail Mary.

The Cowboys miserable season (for them, great for us) continues to trudge along, but the front office did make an effort to improve the team ahead of last week’s trade deadline: Sending a fourth-round pick for Panthers WR Jonathan Mingo. The deal itself was a dud, but it was special to note because the trade wrote its own headline. Just look at what his new title clearly spells out:

Dallas wideout Jonathan Mingo
** Hangman to join outlaw lads. Die!

FYI, “Jonathan Mingo” also spells out “Mahjong nation” which coincidentally is what he’s going to be starting at his home in a few weeks, after the Cowboys’ season ends without a playoff invite.

** Dad went 3-1 against me this week, pulling to within one game in our weekly picks showdown. And that’s not the worst of it. Even after I ridiculed him here for multiple weeks for picking the Jets, I decided to put my faith in the New Jersey squad on Sunday when even Dad wouldn’t touch them. So, the joke is on me, and I have learned my lesson. No more picking the Jets … unless they play the Jaguars … which they do in four weeks…

** Delaware won its final home game as a FCS school on Saturday, bringing their record to 9-1 on the season. Their last regular season game before heading to Conference USA next year will be a win over Villanova next week, and then hopefully a long run in their final FCS playoffs appearance.

** The 49ers have lost three games this year where they were leading with two minutes left in the game. I think that’s neat.


Week 11 standings

1 — Still The Best (Jonathan), 1408.89 pts
2 — Murder Hornets (Mike), 1326.71 pts
3 — Kodos for President (Jo), 1320.04 pts
4 — Blue Collar Killers (Jeff), 1318.61 pts
5 — Chop Block to the Artery (Capt. Awesome), 1312.50 pts
6 — DeVonta’s Inferno (Mom D), 1262.85 pts
7 — No One Likes Us We Don't Care (Bob), 1243.59 pts
8 — Beer 'n Chips (Pop), 1225.35 pts
9 — Jabronis (Ant), 1209.63 pts
10 — The Fightin Pickles (Sam), 1111.15 pts
11 — The B Sharps (Paul), 1006.46 pts
12 — All Rogers No Sauce (Joel), 942.39 pts

Big weeks for Mike and Jeff have created a logjam around the second-place podium perch, and firmly established four tiers in the standings.

At the bottom are Paul and Joel, both 400-plus points out of first. Realistically, they’d need all of use to lose our logins to get back into this fight.

Next up are the under-fives, all sitting at least 140 pts out of the top spot. It’s not impossible for them to get back into contention, but it’s going to take a lot of luck over the last seven weeks to get there.

Everyone in our second-place pack is within 100 points of the lead, but no one is closer than 80 pts. Someone could climb that mountain, but it’ll take work. And maybe a pickaxe in the back of other coaches.

And the last tier is Jonathan, the reigning Awesome Cup champ, all by himself in first place. Mike scored 159.69 pts this week and only managed to pick up 27 pts in the standings, because Still the Best seems to hit 130 consistently every week. Luckily, he has several key players still to hit a bye, but the biggest one — QB Lamar Jackson, the top scorer in the league — doesn’t sit until week 14.

Six other teams have byes this week, though: The Bills, Falcons, Bengals, Saints, Jets and Jaguars. And there is still a Thursday night game. So check those rosters early, you may need to make a lot of adjustments this weekend.



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