Monday, January 06, 2025

Fantasy football 2024 -- week 18 recap


Here are a few ready-made talking points for WIP callers after Sunday’s convincing, very very significant Eagles win over the New Jersey Giants:

** “I’m just saying that if Jalen Hurts is still hurt next week, I think Tanner McKee could carve up the Packers’ defense.”

** “Every Eagles team that has ever won at least 13 games has made the Super Bowl, and you could see that heart out there on Sunday.”

** “That offense looked just as good with Saquon on the bench. I’m still not sure that was money well spent.”

** “Why haven’t we seen more of Ainias Smith this season? Kid is a baller.”

** “I know they won, but Nick Sirianni should be embarrassed that the Giants made it that close.”

** “I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again — Sydney Brown may be the best ‘Brown’ on this team.”

** “Why did they win that game? Doesn’t this front office understand how much that helped the Giants’ draft pick? That’s gonna come back to haunt the Eagles next year.”


Top QBs of the year

3rd place: Baker Mayfield, 447.80.31 pts — 23rd QB drafted (Jo)
2nd place: Joe Burrow, 458.82 pts — 10th QB drafted (Jeff)
1st place: Lamar Jackson, 513.38 pts — 4th QB drafted (Jonathan)

Josh Allen (4th overall QB) will probably win the MVP, but he certainly wasn’t the fantasy MVP. Jackson outscored him by 88 pts and came at a much cheaper draft cost (4th round vs. 1st round). Burrow didn’t get picked up until the 7th. Maybe even more shocking, Allen got beat out for a spot on the final podium by Baker Mayfield, a 17th round fantasy draft pick. Joanna actually ended up with the #3 and #5 fantasy QBs (Jayden Daniels, 401.60 pts) and probably should have traded one. But the moral of the story? Never waste a first-round pick on a QB. You won’t win.

Top WRs of the year

3rd place: Justin Jefferson, 215.38 pts — 4th WR drafted (Sam)
2nd place: Amon-Ra St. Brown, 220.88 pts — 5th WR drafted (Jonathan)
1st place: Ja'Marr Chase, 285.57 pts — 3rd WR drafted (Mike)

Welcome to the second half of the first round of our draft. These three were the #7, #8, and #9 picks, and all of them paid off. The two wideouts before them? CeeDee Lamb (first WR taken) ended up in the top 8 in scoring, but Tyreek Hill (second WR taken) was outside the top 20. The sleeper this year was wideout Brian Thomas Jr., who ended up fourth in scoring after being the 39th WR drafted. I took Rome Odunze four picks ahead of him, and that move cost me 105 fantasy pts on the season. Ouch.

Top RBs of the year

3rd place: Jahmyr Gibbs, 320.17 pts — 7th RB drafted (Jo)
2nd place: Derrick Henry, 320.47 pts — 5th RB drafted (Mom D)
1st place: Saquon Barkley, 330.03 pts — 6th RB drafted (Capt. Awesome)

The second round was the place to find great RBs this year: Besides these three, Josh Jacobs (5th best back), Kyren Williams (6th best) and De'Von Achane (8th best) were all taken in the second round. The numbers between Henry and Barkley ended up pretty close, with the Eagles rusher finishing just 83 yds ahead of the Baltimore back (1,921 rushing yds). But that’s in large part due to Henry playing all 17 games, and Saquon sadly sitting out the finale. Gibbs’ four TDs in the finale pulled him just a hair out of second place, but he also played 17 games, so it’s just not as impressive as Barkley.

Top TEs of the year

3rd place: Trey McBride, 156.10 pts — 3rd TE drafted (Joel)
2nd place: George Kittle, 162.23 pts — 6th TE drafted (Ant)
1st place: Brock Bowers, 168.40 pts — 13th TE drafted (Jonathan)

Hello, rookie. Bowers ended up being a major steal for Jonathan, who also started Travis Kelce (8th overall TE) for most of the year. It doesn’t happen often, but sometimes having that extra flex spot as a W/T instead of just another wideout really makes a difference. Bowers and McBride were #3 and #4 in receptions on the season, only behind Chase and St. Brown.

Top Ks of the year

3rd place: Cameron Dicker, 180.00 pts — 14th K drafted (Jonathan)
2nd place: Chris Boswell, 191.00 pts — undrafted
1st place: Brandon Aubrey, 178.00 pts — 2nd K drafted (Jeff)

Joanna at various points in the season had Boswell, Ka'imi Fairbairn (#4 overall kicker) and Jake Bates (#7 overall kicker). Meanwhile, Jonathan cut Dicker almost immediately and kept 49ers K Jake Moody instead, who ended up 21st in scoring. If only Jonathan hadn’t made that small mistake, maybe his team could have amounted to something.

Top DEFs of the year

3rd place: Green Bay, 156.00 pts — 20th DEF drafted (Sam)
2nd place: Minnesota, 164.00 pts — 10th DEF drafted (Mom D)
1st place: Denver, 198.00 pts — 17th DEF drafted (Ant)

Looks like we missed big on this category. The fourth-best defense was Houston, who was the 15th defense drafted by us. Of the top 10 defenses on the season, only Minnesota, Pittsburgh (#7 overall) and Buffalo (#9) were taken in our top 12 draft spots. So using that early pick to have Dallas repeat as a defensive juggernaut went for nothing.

Top Ds of the year

3rd place: Andrew Van Ginkel, 69.00— undrafted
2nd place: Zack Baun, 69.50 pts — undrafted
1st place: Zaire Franklin, 70.50 pts — undrafted

Someday we’ll draft a top defensive player, he writes for the 20th year in a row, keeping faith alive despite all logical evidence to the contrary. But what we did get is a second Eagle making an appearance in a fantasy honors category this season. So miracles can happen.


QB: Bryce Young, 42.44 pts — started by me
WR: Drake London, 29.47 pts — started by Ant
RB: Jahmyr Gibbs, 42.47 pts — started by Jo
TE: Pat Freiermuth, 15.67 pts — on the wire
K: Joshua Karty, 17.00 pts — on the wire
DEF: Denver, 20.00 — on Ant’s bench
D: Derek Barnett, 11.00 pts — on the wire

It’s not often that a RB is the top performer on the week, but Gibbs and his aforementioned four TDs managed to just outpace Bryce Young’s surprising appearance on this list.

Gibbs is a Pro Bowler headed to the postseason with Detroit. Young was assumed to be another first-round bust halfway through the year, only to turn around the narrative completely. He had 14.56 fantasy pts combined through the first seven games this season. In the last three weeks alone, he totaled 94.48 pts. He did just enough to likely convince the Panthers’ front office to keep building the team around him in the offseason, which will probably mean he’ll fall apart again next year, because this is the Panthers we are talking about.

Awww, a second appearance on the top performer’s list for Derek Barnett this season. He had two tackles, a sack and a fumble recovery returned for a TD on Sunday. In week 11, he scored 12.50 pts after another monster game. In the other 15 games this year, he averaged one fantasy point a game.


“Worst performers of the year” edition

3rd place: Carolina, 20.00 pts — on the wire
2nd place: Kadarius Toney, -1.02 pts — on the wire
1st place: Clayton Tune, -2.08 pts — on the wire

For the weekly worst performers list, we had three defenses again hit -6.00 pts (Atlanta, Kansas City and San Francisco). Seven teams hit the worst score possible over the last two weeks. That’s what the NFL gets for jamming in too many meaningless games instead of sticking with the 16-game schedule.

But the big news is the worst performers of the year, because there really aren’t any. Only two fantasy players ended up in negative territory: Toney, who I’ve made fun of several times, and Cardinals QB Clayton Tune, who scored -2.60 pts on week 2 and never made it back into positive territory.

So to round out our worst performers list for this year, we’ll highlight the worst defense of the year: The Panthers, who managed just 20 fantasy points on the season. The team surrendered 534 points this season (31.4 pts a game, 66 more than the next worst team), and posted negative fantasy scores in seven of 17 weeks. They scored half their points in week 10 against the Giants, the only time they hit double digits and the only time they held an opponent to less than 20 points.

Still, the Panthers were worth more than Tommy DeVito (13.48 pts) this year. So that’s something.


** After the Brown’s loss on Saturday left their season record at 3-14, DE Myles Garrett told reporters that the result was a more disappointing season than their 0-16 finish in 2017 “because of what we expected out of ourselves.”

While I appreciate the frustration, it’s pretty ridiculous of Garrett to expect anything of the Browns. They’re had three winning seasons in the last 30 years. They’re lost at least 10 games in 12 of the last 18 years. Heck, this franchise went 0-16 just a few years ago. I wonder if Garrett remembers that…

** The Washington Post extolled the Maryland Commanders last-second win over the 7-10 Cowboys on Sunday by calling it the perfect cap to a “historic” season. The history? “The Commanders finished off a 12-5 season, its most wins since the 1991 season.”

So, a franchise that has won three Super Bowls is now being lauded for the “history” of having its fifth-best record ever. Makes sense.

** The Bears front office reportedly has asked to interview former Packers coach and current Cowboys coach Mike McCarthy, because they’re looking for a leader who can’t lead his team to the playoffs but also has a history of enraging Chicago fans. Happy new year, Bears fans!
 

Here’s a quick recap of the 2024 Cincinnati Bengals:

** QB Joe Burrow led the league in passing yards (4,918) and passing TDs (43).

** WR Jamar Chase led the league in receiving yds (1,708) and receptions (127) and receiving TDs (17).

** The Bengals were the only team with multiple receivers with double-digit TD catches (Chase and Tee Higgins, 10).

** RB Chase Brown just missed a 1,000-yard rushing season (990).
 
** The team was sixth in the league in scoring and finished the year on a five-game winning streak.

** They missed the playoffs.

Every one of the Bengals eight losses this season came against a playoff team (Eagles, Commanders, Chiefs, Ravens twice, Steelers, and Chargers) except one: Their week one loss to the Patriots, one of only four New England wins on the season. If Cincy had avoided that inexplicable 16-10 upset, we’d be talking about the Bengals as the postseason sleeper team that no one wants to play. Instead, they’re on their way home to play golf. 

It’s good to know that one screwy misstep in the first game of the year can end an entire season before it starts.

Next week is the start of the postseason, and one team that won’t be there is the Dallas Cowboys. After three 12-win seasons in a row, the franchise from Arlington posted a disappointing sub-.500 record and will be spending the rest of January watching good teams play for the championship. And when you break down the basics, you can see that the letters had already preordained this result:

Dallas Cowboys miss the playoffs
** Fact: Bad, showy mess flops. I say LOL.

Next season marks the 30th anniversary of the last time the Cowboys were a relevant franchise, winning more than one game in the playoffs. That was before every member of the Eagles active roster was born except for TE Dallas Goedert, CB Darius Slay, OT Lane Johnson and LS Rick Lovato. It also covers QB Tom Brady’s entire career, including his time in college, each of his Super Bowl wins and both of his retirements. But, hey, let’s give them six prime time games again next year, because people still think they matter.

** Valiant effort by Dad this week, who went 6-4 in our picks. But that wasn’t enough for him to overcome my eight-game lead coming into the weekend. I’m now 10-5 against him over the last 15 years, and mysteriously all records were lost for the time before that. For the season I went 193-79, getting 71 percent of my picks right, which may be a personal record (I’m not bothering to look it up). Onto the playoffs, where I don’t think I’ve beaten Dad in the last five years.

** So if the Eagles beat the Packers and the Bucs beat the Commanders, the Eagles play the Bucs in the second round of the playoffs. That Tampa Bay loss was the only real defeat the Eagles had this year, and it was a complete mess of a game. So, that’ll be another fun rematch to look forward to.

** OK but I think Ainias Smith may be better than Jahan Dotson.

** I know it didn’t mean anything, but I do love when the Eagles beat the Giants. After the Eagles laid down against the Commanders in the finale of the 2020 season, effectively knocking the Giants out of the playoffs, New Jersey players and staff vowed never to forget the lack of effort and to get revenge on the Eagles. Since then, Philadelphia is 7-2 against the Giants, including a win in the playoffs. That’s some sweet revenge.


The final Awesome Cup standings will be unveiled on Tuesday in the final season recap.

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